United States
A Peace That Looks Like a Defeat: The US–Iran Deal and the Arithmetic of Nothing
On the strategic ledger, the United States fought a four-month war and bought itself a return to where it started — minus the blood, plus a strengthened adversary. Measured against its own declared aims, the celebration is domestic and political, not strategic.
Read more →The Wrong War to Win Quickly: On the Consequences of Invading Cuba
With the Iran war settled, the deferred question returns on schedule. Taking the threat against Havana at face value, this is an attempt to count what a war with Cuba would actually produce — not in the triumphal grammar of Washington nor the martyrological grammar of Havana, but on the ledger where consequences are tallied after the cameras leave. The gravest danger may not be the war the planners fear but the aftermath none of them have planned for.
Read more →Two Unprecedented Granma Articles: A Strategic Shift in Havana
On May 14, 2026, Cuba’s state newspaper Granma signaled a departure from decades of isolationist rhetoric. By reporting a high-level meeting with CIA Director John Ratcliffe and President Díaz-Canel’s openness to $100 million in US aid, the Cuban government is utilizing its official organ to prepare the public for a two-track negotiation involving security cooperation and humanitarian relief.
Read more →Intervention and Occupation: Chapter 4 of Cuba and the United States: Ties of Singular Intimacy
How the United States transformed a Cuban war of national liberation into a war of conquest, culminating in the Platt Amendment and the institutionalization of U.S. hegemony over the island.
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