Sanctions

Conflicting Economic Claims Between Cuba and the United States

25 min read

The United States possesses a legitimate, though methodologically inflated, claim arising from the 1959-1960 Cuban nationalizations. Cuba possesses a substantially larger, legally cognizable counter-claim arising from sixty-five years of comprehensive economic coercion. On a net basis, the equitable balance tilts substantially in Cuba’s favor. The 2026 oil blockade crosses the threshold of collective punishment and eliminates any remaining proportionality defense that Washington could invoke.

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GAESA: State Within a State, or Revolutionary Lifeline?

19 min read

A documented analysis of Cuba’s military conglomerate GAESA — separating corroborated evidence from disputed claims, and tracing the connections between leaked financial records, U.S. sanctions strategy, and the life imprisonment of a former economy minister.

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Cuba at a Crossroads: The May 21, 2026 Escalation

11 min read

On May 21, 2026, four distinct but converging stories sharpened the U.S.–Cuba confrontation: an unsealed indictment of former president Raúl Castro, condemnations from Moscow and Beijing, an 8–1 Supreme Court ruling expanding Helms-Burton liability against major cruise lines, and a defiant mobilization by the Cuban government. Together they suggest a coordinated pressure campaign with parallels to the Trump administration’s earlier action against Venezuela.

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