Caribbean
The Wrong War to Win Quickly: On the Consequences of Invading Cuba
With the Iran war settled, the deferred question returns on schedule. Taking the threat against Havana at face value, this is an attempt to count what a war with Cuba would actually produce — not in the triumphal grammar of Washington nor the martyrological grammar of Havana, but on the ledger where consequences are tallied after the cameras leave. The gravest danger may not be the war the planners fear but the aftermath none of them have planned for.
Read more →Pieces on the Board: The Cuba Confrontation, May 25–27, 2026
A three-day window in which the U.S. military posture for an attack on Cuba becomes public, Havana takes its case to the UN Security Council, and the energy blockade reaches into kitchens in Santiago. The pieces are in place; what remains undecided is whether Washington uses them.
Read more →